An Acquisition Just Made Dick’s the Most Exciting Stock in Retail

DICK’s is now set to acquire Foot Locker as a combination deal that makes sense not only on paper but on valuations moving forward.

By Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli | May 15, 2025
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Loganville, Ga / USA - 07 20 20: View of the Dick's Sporting Goods building sign 鈥 Stock Editorial Photography

Average investors focus on the next year or two for a company they consider buying for their portfolios, but those who can keep a longer time horizon in mind stand out above the crowd. There are several examples of legendary value investors who don鈥檛 often move their money around, but every time they do, they sure keep a hold of their picks for at least half a decade to let their views properly play out.

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Today, there鈥檚 an opportunity聽not to be the average investor in the聽聽but rather hang on to an opportunity that will likely develop for a few years to come, unlocking value for shareholders and seeing their portfolios turn green.

With a deep fundamental view and taking advantage of all the uncertainty and聽volatility in the S&P 500 today, an unlikely deal has unlocked the opportunity investors had been patiently waiting for.

Athletic and sportswear giant has landed a deal to in the United States, a combination that will likely bring the company to new heights by聽补诲诲颈苍驳听 to its ecosystem.

The connection may not be immediately obvious, but the market clearly sees what鈥檚 coming鈥攁nd the outlook is undeniably optimistic.

Price Action Subtly Confirms a Bullish Move

When it comes to acquisitions, investors need to keep in mind that the company doing the buying will likely see its stock price come down as an initial reaction to the news, while the company getting bought will rally instead because of the 鈥渨ay out鈥 that is being offered by the bigger fish.

For DICK鈥檚, a fall from $227 per share down to $183 (a decline of nearly 20%) might spell trouble ahead, or perhaps a sign that management made the wrong move here. However, this is normal behavior, and exactly where investors need to zoom into the implications of a combined business moving forward for its impact on valuations.

Falling to only 72% of its 52-week high, shares of DICK鈥檚 now give investors a chance to reassess the future of this deal and potentially get a great bargain on it, before everyone else realizes where the true value should be moving forward.

A Future With Foot Locker by DICK鈥檚 Side?

While some Wall Street analysts may be downplaying the future of this acquisition through a recent downgrade of DICK鈥檚 stock on the news, investors can see this as a likely reaction to the stock鈥檚 price performance which is typically the case as analysts aren鈥檛 known for going against the chart most of the time.

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An analyst from TD Cowen decided to downgrade DICK鈥檚 stock from a previous Buy rating down to a Hold. However, the price target remained the same, which is interesting. Seeing a fair valuation on DICK鈥檚 at $216 per share, this suddenly bearish analyst still calls for as much as 20% upside from where the stock has fallen to on the news.

There鈥檚 a reason this analyst didn鈥檛 lower the price target and why the consensus view still calls for a 31.5% upside via a set . It鈥檚 all deeply rooted in the fundamentals of the new combined business moving forward.

Looking at Foot Locker鈥檚 , investors can find that just the opposite is taking place. The company swung from a net loss per share of $4.13 during the same quarter a year ago to an astonishing shift to profitability this year, reporting as much as $0.51 in earnings per share (EPS).

It seems that DICK鈥檚 decided to acquire Foot Locker just as its business seems to be nearing a bottoming of its internal cycle of profitability and margins. The company saw a 3% increase in gross profit margins over the year, as well as new management initiatives to cut costs and manage capital better.

What Is Being Added for Investors?

DICK鈥檚 shareholders now enjoy a return on invested capital (ROIC) rate of up to 15% on the year, which is the sort of theme that value investors hunt for when looking to compound their capital moving forward.

Adding the new profitability from Foot Locker will only allow management to keep reinvesting and compounding more capital as the combined businesses go along, though it isn鈥檛 the latest $49 million in net income reported, but rather the聽long-term averages outside of tariff uncertainties that look closer to $350 million.

This development might start to justify the fact that left the scene over the past month, a sign of bearish capitulation as short sellers face the pressures of a growing business and fundamentals on this new combination.

Tying it all together as of May 2025, allocators from the Vanguard Group view the alignment as bullish, which is why they聽boosted their holdings in DICK鈥檚 stock by as much as 8.8% to net their position at . The opportunity to be inside malls and offer sportswear to match their current consortium will likely bring more growth to this combined entity.

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Loganville, Ga / USA - 07 20 20: View of the Dick's Sporting Goods building sign 鈥 Stock Editorial Photography

Average investors focus on the next year or two for a company they consider buying for their portfolios, but those who can keep a longer time horizon in mind stand out above the crowd. There are several examples of legendary value investors who don鈥檛 often move their money around, but every time they do, they sure keep a hold of their picks for at least half a decade to let their views properly play out.

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