Palantir Scores First $1 Billion Contract; Is It Priced In?

Palantir’s first $1 billion contract is the latest example of how the company has managed to silence its naysayers, but may be priced into PLTR stock

By Chris Markoch | May 27, 2025
Comment

This story originally appeared on

Palantir Army Contract

[content-module:CompanyOverview|NASDAQ:PLTR]

continues to stack up wins. One of the company鈥檚 latest announcements was a regarding its Maven Smart System. The significance of this contract is that it鈥檚 an extension to Palantir鈥檚 prior $480 million contracts signed in 2024. That means that Palantir has its first $1 billion contract.

Since going public via a direct listing in 2020, Palantir has had more than its share of naysayers. However, this contract is just the latest example of how the company has managed to check the boxes that, for now, have propelled the stock higher despite a lofty valuation.

As the market opened on May 27, PLTR stock is more than 10% below its all-time high (ATH) of May 15, 2025. But the stock is still up 12.15% for the month, 67.2% in 2025, and over 500% in the last 12 months.

Bearish investors will say that, putting the deals aside, a stock is different than a company. Their argument would be that the billion-dollar deal doesn鈥檛 change the fact that based on traditional metrics.

It鈥檚 trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of over 397x and a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of over 92x.

Government Demand Is Expected to Grow

The significance of the Maven Smart System contract is hard to overstate. This is a Department of Defense (DoD) initiative that highlights the Pentagon鈥檚 focus on using artificial intelligence (AI) tools for data fusion and target identification.

On a broader scale, investors could see this as the start of Palantir’s development of an operating system for the DoD. Naysayers have been putting pressure on the stock, believing that Palantir will have contracts cut as part of the U.S. government鈥檚 move towards efficiency.

Those concerns appear to be shortsighted. In fact, recent statements from the DOD suggest that they foresee more use for Palantir technologies. That aligns with the Pentagon鈥檚 increased budget for software licenses.

Palantir is also well-positioned for the聽 that the Trump administration is trying to push through Congress.

The Commercial Side Just Got a Lift as Well

Government contracts account for about 55% of Palantir鈥檚 revenue. However, the commercial side has been growing strongly in recent years. The latest example of this growth is the . Bain is an American management consulting company that 鈥渉elps the world鈥檚 most ambitious change makers define the future.鈥

The deal’s financial terms were not available at the time of this writing. However, the partnership will pair Palantir鈥檚 AI operating systems with Bain鈥檚 deep industry expertise across multiple sectors.

Momentum Traders Continue to Chase Performance

[content-module:Forecast|NASDAQ:PLTR]

Long-term investors may find it easier to filter out the noise surrounding Palantir and may be willing to accept a higher valuation. But what about traders? The bullish argument, for now, is that momentum traders are chasing performance. That leads them to a narrow group of聽, including Palantir.

The for August 15, 2025 (about 10 days after Palantir鈥檚 next earnings report) shows many call options with a strike price of $150. That鈥檚 not only about an 18% gain from the May 27 price, but also over 15% above the ATH.

However, there are even more put options with a strike price of $115, which would decline about 9%. That could mean that traders are hedging against downside risk. Short interest, while still a small 3.3% of the float, has been on the rise.

Short sellers have been burned by Palantir earnings in the past. However, they may feel more emboldened as the .

Before you make your next trade, you’ll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street’s top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis.

Our team has identified the that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on… and none of the big name stocks were on the list.

They believe these five stocks are the five best companies for investors to buy now…

Palantir Army Contract

[content-module:CompanyOverview|NASDAQ:PLTR]

continues to stack up wins. One of the company鈥檚 latest announcements was a regarding its Maven Smart System. The significance of this contract is that it鈥檚 an extension to Palantir鈥檚 prior $480 million contracts signed in 2024. That means that Palantir has its first $1 billion contract.

Join the Conversation
Leave a comment. Be kind. Critique ideas, not people.
Sort: |

Related Content